Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 516.968761 549.517945 583.321217 621.106283 662.233468 705.718994 755.275145
2026-02-01 476.084427 521.140584 569.812040 626.506165 690.994865 762.377422 847.795657
2026-02-08 448.376927 501.844357 561.365649 632.957915 717.288989 814.159680 934.856949
2026-02-15 424.095382 483.190359 550.591170 633.816405 734.737751 854.351459 1008.657630
2026-02-22 404.077610 467.368174 541.059689 634.133228 749.892831 890.947619 1078.695166
2026-03-01 388.578770 455.486700 534.837428 637.122184 767.311258 930.060048 1153.128050
2026-03-08 373.148296 442.526779 526.145718 635.893527 778.496342 960.936584 1217.807151
2026-03-15 360.403964 432.012944 519.614166 636.533719 791.430455 993.999855 1286.679246
2026-03-22 348.535915 421.877084 512.825530 636.102489 802.390978 1024.387043 1353.107250
2026-03-29 337.871339 412.678816 506.626502 635.826104 813.096307 1054.452213 1420.409137
2026-04-05 329.639752 406.164284 503.457855 639.169660 828.530834 1091.448523 1499.732107
2026-04-12 320.725297 398.326462 498.098168 639.084007 838.875598 1121.375088 1570.029996
2026-04-19 314.434330 393.688449 496.759164 644.368149 856.938534 1163.298624 1661.561665
2026-04-26 308.831538 389.697426 496.033162 650.309459 876.007046 1207.472846 1759.525732
2026-05-03 303.938099 386.426422 496.066333 657.169119 896.534804 1254.712937 1865.657220
2026-05-10 297.307718 380.517505 492.170677 658.093974 908.065480 1288.482624 1951.636240
2026-05-17 290.884949 374.649477 488.064732 658.433446 918.547222 1320.925962 2037.461692
2026-05-24 285.749082 370.370593 485.991028 661.578330 933.325678 1360.817267 2139.073754
2026-05-31 279.491168 364.304092 481.127958 660.286803 940.977824 1389.322970 2222.251354
2026-06-07 274.170925 359.381412 477.706751 660.960165 951.640141 1423.199614 2317.683987
2026-06-14 268.781621 354.186380 473.691737 660.506732 960.355341 1454.095093 2409.763862
2026-06-21 263.702986 349.278251 469.913553 660.216104 969.215157 1485.558484 2505.281828
2026-06-28 259.952209 346.164750 468.649558 663.732253 984.405886 1528.747253 2627.362360